Advantage Betting

GETTING VALUE

I just got a comment/question from Sean that is good to address to understand the concept of getting value on bets, which is the most important part of betting.
“I liked your post, was there a reason that you pick Hanson in the first place? did you genuinely think he would win or did you just [...]


NBA PICK MARCH 12

So far I am -2.09 points with my NBA picks on here.
Tonight I’m going with New Jersey 2.40


NBA PICKS FEB. 23

I am now -4.03 since I started giving NBA picks on here.
Today’s picks:
Orlando @ Atlanta Under 177.5 (1.98)
Miami -9.5 (1.96)


NBA PICKS FEB. 9

I am now -4.90 after Golden State blew a lead in the 4th quarter Wednesday.
Tonight I’m going with:
Houston @ Phoenix Under 199.5 (1.87)


NBA PICK FEB. 7

After a winner last night my NBA picks are -3.90
One pick for tonight:
Golden State Warriors 2.28


NBA PICKS FEB. 6

NBA pick for tonight:
San Antonio Spurs 1.96
NBA picks are -4.86.


NBA PICKS JAN 30

I was talking to a friend last week about betting on games that the players are virtually meaningless. He said that he does not bet on these games. Two of theses games occurred yesterday with the NHL All-Star Game and the Pro Bowl. I didn’t bet on the NHL All-Star Game but did place multiple [...]


NBA PICKS JAN 27

I’m down to -4.50 points with my picks on here.
Tonight I’m going with:
Indiana Packers -3.5 (2.02)
New Orleans Hornets (2.64)


SUPER BOWL XLII REMATCH

The Conference Finals turned a very small profit on my bets.
Moneyline Picks
New York Giants (2.24)
Spread Picks
Baltimore Ravens +7.5 (1.87)
Total Picks
New York Giants/ San Francisco 49ers Over 42.5 (2.02)
Baltimore Ravens/ New England Patriots Over 50.5 (2.02)
I went over in each of the games. I liked the Giants offence to throw on the 49ers defence often, [...]


NBA PICKS JAN 19

Rough night last night with only one winner out of four picks. Minnesota was looking good to cover up eight points with four seconds left and at the line to shoot two. Of course both free throws were missed.
Tonight I have one pick.
Utah Jazz 1.73
Since starting to put my picks on here I am 2-for-6 [...]