TIME TO BELIEVE IN TEBOW?
I haven’t really posted much on here in the past while but I’m going to make an attempt to get back to it. This time I think I will post once per week, on Tuesdays until the end of the NFL regular season. After that I may try something different. Posts will recap what I did in terms of betting, meaning anything from bets I placed to articles I’ve read that are of some interest.
The primary focus for me for the past months has been the NFL. It is the only thing that I am trading on currently as I am patiently waiting for the NBA to start their season. Though I would prefer to trade on Betdaq for fewer commissions then Betfair, Betdaq doesn’t provide the amount of markets for a single game that Betfair does. Last night I dabbled a bit into trading the over/under markets in the NFL Monday nighter.
I also made a good profit on the Under/Over 50.5 points.
The trading strategy was that I felt that this game was going to be a high scoring one, especially after it started. The first quarter finished without any scoring but both teams were moving the ball efficiently. The Saints tried a fake field goal that didn’t go as planned and Eli Manning threw a red zone interception after promtly driving down the field. I entered the market by getting part of my bet matched, laying odds of 1.15, with the score 7-3 for the Saints in the second quarter.
I didn’t lock in the profit until the fourth quarter. I kept bets out there that were value for the under, but the odds that I was giving were far above what anyone was willing to give until that point.
The rest of the NFL weekend worked out average at best.
I supply NFL selections for the Premier Betting site. This week I went three-for-six with a very small profit because one of the winning selections was an underdog moneyline pick. I really should have went with Denver on the moneyline too. I’m trying to trust Tim Tebow, but he still scares me. Below are were my selections.
Moneyline Picks
Arizona Cardinals (2.25)
Spread Picks
Tampa Bay Bucaneers+3.5 (1.96)
Denver Broncos +6.5 (1.96)
Total Picks
Buffalo Bills/ New York Jets Under 42.5 (2.00)
New England Patriots/ Philadelphia Eagles Under 50.5 (1.91)
New York Giants/ New Orleans Saints Over 51.5 (2.05)
The Tampa Bay game was a bit of a heartbreaker, but those things happen.
As you can see I really liked the Giants, Saints game. This New Orleans offence is very high powered, especially at home. It looks like the Detroit Lions are in trouble again this week. The Lions started 5-0, but now are dealing with one of the toughest second half schedules amoungst NFL teams. It has just been announced that Detroit Defensive Tackle Ndamukong Suh will be suspended for two games.
Other NFL news out today has Jack Del Rio being fired as head coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8).
Recently I have tried to dabble into soccer. For the NHL I have betting systems, one of which is a system to determine probability of a Regulation Tie. I know very little when it comes to soccer but I do subscribe to a pair of selection services which pick soccer draws, comparable to what I would do with the NHL. Below are this weekend’s results.
Pete Nordsted’s Drawmaster: 2/3
Cassini’s XX Draws: 0/2
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Glad to hear that you’ll be posting again!