WHAT CAN WE TAKE FROM THE FIRST HALF?
Before my Betfair days I spent my time trying to get an advantage over Sportsbooks. At that time sports betting was a hobby, rather than a profession. I would develop systems to try to get value bets in baseball, hockey and basketball. The hours that I spent going through lines and odds has without a doubt is helping me now as I trade on Betfair.
When I first came across sportsbooks offering second half lines I figured that these were bets I could get value with. The part of the spreadsheet you see above is one that I developed and modified and modified to try to gain an advantage on second half lines. I first developed the formulas and was entering the information I needed at halftime. Using some web queries, Visual Basic and some help from former classmates I developed a spreadsheet in which I can just enter the box score URL on the first sheet and hit the refresh on the second sheet to give me a projected final score.
I have hidden most of the sheet as I wouldn’t want someone to copy my ideas. Nor do I want to sell it, I have let a friend use it and he has shown some very good results with it on Betfair.
This is a good time of the season to start using the spreasheet because teams have established good season stats at this point.
I still use the spreadsheet for betting second half lines, mostly with matchbook, with good success. It is fairly consistent with a ROI just above 15%. I have gotten into using it with Betfair, so far, so good. I’m keeping my fingers crossed.
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